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218 Redmond, William H. (1999). “Effects of sales promotion on smoking among U.S. ninth graders.” Preventive Medicine 28, 243-250. Redmond, William H. (2004). “Interconnectivity in diffusion of innovations and market competition.” Journal of Business Research 57, 1295-1302. Rivoli, Pietra. (2005). The Travels of a T-Shirt in the Global Economy. Hoboken, NJ: Wiley and Sons. Robinson, Sherman and Karen Thierfelder. (1999). Trade Liberalization and Regional Integration: The Search for Large Numbers. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Institute. Rogers, Everett M. (1962). Diffusion of Innovation. New York, NY: Free Press. Rogers, Everett M. (1983). Diffusion of Innovation, Third Edition. New York, NY: Free Press. Rogers, Everett M. (1995). Diffusion of Innovation, Fifth Edition. New York, NY: Free Press. Rose, Andrew K. (2004). “Do We Really Know That the WTO Increases Trade?” American Economic Review 94(1): 98-114. Russett, Bruce. (1993). Grasping the Democratic Peace. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press. Sachs, Jeffrey D. and Andrew Warner. (1995). “Economic reform and the process of global integration.” Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, No. 1, 1-118. Salas, Fernando and Jaime Zabludovsky. (2004). “NAFTA as a Tool to Precommit to Market Openness.” Stanford University, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA. Sapir, Andre. (1997). Domino Effects in Western European Trade, 1960-1992. CEPR Discussion Paper No. 1576. London: Center for Economic Policy Research. Simmons, Beth A., Frank Dobbin and Geoffrey Garrett. (2006). “Introduction: the international diffusion of liberalism.” International Organization 60, 781- 810. Sologa, Isidro and L. Alan Winters. (2001). “Regionalism in the nineties: what effect of trade?” North American Journal of Economics and Finance 12(1): 1-29.
Object Description
Title | Riding the wave: an interdisciplinary approach to understanding the popularity of RTA notifications to the GATT/WTO |
Author | McClough, David Andrew |
Author email | mcclough@usc.edu; dmcclou@bgsu.edu |
Degree | Doctor of Philosophy |
Document type | Dissertation |
Degree program | Political Economy & Public Policy |
School | College of Letters, Arts and Sciences |
Date defended/completed | 2008-08-07 |
Date submitted | 2008 |
Restricted until | Unrestricted |
Date published | 2008-10-18 |
Advisor (committee chair) | Katada, Saori N. |
Advisor (committee member) |
Nugent, Jeffrey B. Cartier, Carolyn |
Abstract | The proliferation of Regional Trade Agreements (RTAs) notified to the GATT/WTO since the early 1980s deviates from the long-term trend and reflects participation of nearly every member of the United Nations. This dissertation seeks to explain the current wave of RTA notifications by supplementing the economic model of supply and demand with diffusion theory. Application of the supply and demand model is useful in distinguishing between changes in demand and changes insupply of RTAs. This distinction is seldom emphasized in the current literature examining RTAs. Recent applications of diffusion theory in the discipline of international relations offer a unique opportunity to include a dynamic force in the static analysis of the supply and demand model. Empirical analysis assesses the fit of the RTA diffusion pattern by comparing the RTA diffusion pattern to a cumulative standard normal distribution. The analysis indicates that the diffusion pattern of RTAs resembles the diffusion of an innovation through a social system.; The implication of this finding is that the adoption of an RTA as trade policy is not made independently of the decision by other states. Indeed, the analysis suggests interdependency between states. Further empirical analysis explores economic and political variables that may explain the decision to adopt the RTA as trade policy. The empirical analysis is unique in that survival analysis is utilized to assess the variation in duration to adopt an initial RTA since the early 1980s. A central discovery is that regional designation explains the variation in duration to adopt an initial RTA. Multiple regression analysis confirms the results generated using survival analysis and support the assertion that the proliferation of RTAs likely reflects changes in both the demand for RTAs and the supply of RTAs. This dissertation concludes by considering implications for the WTO resulting from the increase in RTA notifications. |
Keyword | trade agreements |
Coverage date | after 1980 |
Language | English |
Part of collection | University of Southern California dissertations and theses |
Publisher (of the original version) | University of Southern California |
Place of publication (of the original version) | Los Angeles, California |
Publisher (of the digital version) | University of Southern California. Libraries |
Provenance | Electronically uploaded by the author |
Type | texts |
Legacy record ID | usctheses-m1675 |
Contributing entity | University of Southern California |
Rights | McClough, David Andrew |
Repository name | Libraries, University of Southern California |
Repository address | Los Angeles, California |
Repository email | cisadmin@lib.usc.edu |
Filename | etd-McClough-2338 |
Archival file | uscthesesreloadpub_Volume32/etd-McClough-2338.pdf |
Description
Title | Page 227 |
Contributing entity | University of Southern California |
Repository email | cisadmin@lib.usc.edu |
Full text | 218 Redmond, William H. (1999). “Effects of sales promotion on smoking among U.S. ninth graders.” Preventive Medicine 28, 243-250. Redmond, William H. (2004). “Interconnectivity in diffusion of innovations and market competition.” Journal of Business Research 57, 1295-1302. Rivoli, Pietra. (2005). The Travels of a T-Shirt in the Global Economy. Hoboken, NJ: Wiley and Sons. Robinson, Sherman and Karen Thierfelder. (1999). Trade Liberalization and Regional Integration: The Search for Large Numbers. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Institute. Rogers, Everett M. (1962). Diffusion of Innovation. New York, NY: Free Press. Rogers, Everett M. (1983). Diffusion of Innovation, Third Edition. New York, NY: Free Press. Rogers, Everett M. (1995). Diffusion of Innovation, Fifth Edition. New York, NY: Free Press. Rose, Andrew K. (2004). “Do We Really Know That the WTO Increases Trade?” American Economic Review 94(1): 98-114. Russett, Bruce. (1993). Grasping the Democratic Peace. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press. Sachs, Jeffrey D. and Andrew Warner. (1995). “Economic reform and the process of global integration.” Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, No. 1, 1-118. Salas, Fernando and Jaime Zabludovsky. (2004). “NAFTA as a Tool to Precommit to Market Openness.” Stanford University, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA. Sapir, Andre. (1997). Domino Effects in Western European Trade, 1960-1992. CEPR Discussion Paper No. 1576. London: Center for Economic Policy Research. Simmons, Beth A., Frank Dobbin and Geoffrey Garrett. (2006). “Introduction: the international diffusion of liberalism.” International Organization 60, 781- 810. Sologa, Isidro and L. Alan Winters. (2001). “Regionalism in the nineties: what effect of trade?” North American Journal of Economics and Finance 12(1): 1-29. |