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217 Morita, June G., Thomas W. Lee, and Richard T. Mowday. (1989). “Introducing survival analysis to organizational researchers: a selected application to turnover research.” Journal of Applied Psychology 74(2): 280-292. Morita, June G., Thomas W. Lee, and Richard T. Mowday. (1993). “The regression-analog to survival analysis: a selected application to turnover research.” Academy of Management Journal 36(6): 1430-1464. Neary, J. Peter. (2003). “Europe on the road to Doha: towards a new global trade round?” Working Paper. Norusis, Marija J. (2004). SPSS 13.0 Advanced statistical procedures companion. Upper Saddle River, NJ: Prentice Hall. Olson, Mancur. (1965). The logic of collective action: public goods and theory of groups. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press. Oneal, John R, Bruce Russett, and Michael L. Berbaum. (2003). “Causes of peace: democracy, interdependence, and international organizations, 1885-1992.” International Studies Quarterly 47, 371-393. Ostrom, Elinor. (2000). “Collective Action and the Evolution of Social Norms.” Journal of Economic Perspectives 14(3): 137-158. Padoan, Pier Carlo. (1997). “Regional agreements as clubs: the European case.” In Edward D. Mansfield and Helen V. Milner (eds.), The Political Economy of Regionalism, Columbia University Press: New York, 107-133. Panagariya, Arvind. (2003). “Rich Man Poor Man.” Wall Street Journal A16, Sept. 16. Perroni, Carlo and John Whalley. (1994). “The new regionalism: trade liberalism or insurance?” Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research: Working Paper 4626. Polachek, Solomon W. (1997). “Why democracies cooperate more and fight less: the relationship between international trade and cooperation.” Review of International Economics 5(3): 295-309. Popper, Karl. (1959). The Logic of Scientific Discovery. New York: Harper Torchbooks. Powers, Kathy L. (2006). “Dispute initiation and alliance obligations in regional economic institutions.” Journal of Peace Research 43(4): 453-471.
Object Description
Title | Riding the wave: an interdisciplinary approach to understanding the popularity of RTA notifications to the GATT/WTO |
Author | McClough, David Andrew |
Author email | mcclough@usc.edu; dmcclou@bgsu.edu |
Degree | Doctor of Philosophy |
Document type | Dissertation |
Degree program | Political Economy & Public Policy |
School | College of Letters, Arts and Sciences |
Date defended/completed | 2008-08-07 |
Date submitted | 2008 |
Restricted until | Unrestricted |
Date published | 2008-10-18 |
Advisor (committee chair) | Katada, Saori N. |
Advisor (committee member) |
Nugent, Jeffrey B. Cartier, Carolyn |
Abstract | The proliferation of Regional Trade Agreements (RTAs) notified to the GATT/WTO since the early 1980s deviates from the long-term trend and reflects participation of nearly every member of the United Nations. This dissertation seeks to explain the current wave of RTA notifications by supplementing the economic model of supply and demand with diffusion theory. Application of the supply and demand model is useful in distinguishing between changes in demand and changes insupply of RTAs. This distinction is seldom emphasized in the current literature examining RTAs. Recent applications of diffusion theory in the discipline of international relations offer a unique opportunity to include a dynamic force in the static analysis of the supply and demand model. Empirical analysis assesses the fit of the RTA diffusion pattern by comparing the RTA diffusion pattern to a cumulative standard normal distribution. The analysis indicates that the diffusion pattern of RTAs resembles the diffusion of an innovation through a social system.; The implication of this finding is that the adoption of an RTA as trade policy is not made independently of the decision by other states. Indeed, the analysis suggests interdependency between states. Further empirical analysis explores economic and political variables that may explain the decision to adopt the RTA as trade policy. The empirical analysis is unique in that survival analysis is utilized to assess the variation in duration to adopt an initial RTA since the early 1980s. A central discovery is that regional designation explains the variation in duration to adopt an initial RTA. Multiple regression analysis confirms the results generated using survival analysis and support the assertion that the proliferation of RTAs likely reflects changes in both the demand for RTAs and the supply of RTAs. This dissertation concludes by considering implications for the WTO resulting from the increase in RTA notifications. |
Keyword | trade agreements |
Coverage date | after 1980 |
Language | English |
Part of collection | University of Southern California dissertations and theses |
Publisher (of the original version) | University of Southern California |
Place of publication (of the original version) | Los Angeles, California |
Publisher (of the digital version) | University of Southern California. Libraries |
Provenance | Electronically uploaded by the author |
Type | texts |
Legacy record ID | usctheses-m1675 |
Contributing entity | University of Southern California |
Rights | McClough, David Andrew |
Repository name | Libraries, University of Southern California |
Repository address | Los Angeles, California |
Repository email | cisadmin@lib.usc.edu |
Filename | etd-McClough-2338 |
Archival file | uscthesesreloadpub_Volume32/etd-McClough-2338.pdf |
Description
Title | Page 226 |
Contributing entity | University of Southern California |
Repository email | cisadmin@lib.usc.edu |
Full text | 217 Morita, June G., Thomas W. Lee, and Richard T. Mowday. (1989). “Introducing survival analysis to organizational researchers: a selected application to turnover research.” Journal of Applied Psychology 74(2): 280-292. Morita, June G., Thomas W. Lee, and Richard T. Mowday. (1993). “The regression-analog to survival analysis: a selected application to turnover research.” Academy of Management Journal 36(6): 1430-1464. Neary, J. Peter. (2003). “Europe on the road to Doha: towards a new global trade round?” Working Paper. Norusis, Marija J. (2004). SPSS 13.0 Advanced statistical procedures companion. Upper Saddle River, NJ: Prentice Hall. Olson, Mancur. (1965). The logic of collective action: public goods and theory of groups. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press. Oneal, John R, Bruce Russett, and Michael L. Berbaum. (2003). “Causes of peace: democracy, interdependence, and international organizations, 1885-1992.” International Studies Quarterly 47, 371-393. Ostrom, Elinor. (2000). “Collective Action and the Evolution of Social Norms.” Journal of Economic Perspectives 14(3): 137-158. Padoan, Pier Carlo. (1997). “Regional agreements as clubs: the European case.” In Edward D. Mansfield and Helen V. Milner (eds.), The Political Economy of Regionalism, Columbia University Press: New York, 107-133. Panagariya, Arvind. (2003). “Rich Man Poor Man.” Wall Street Journal A16, Sept. 16. Perroni, Carlo and John Whalley. (1994). “The new regionalism: trade liberalism or insurance?” Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research: Working Paper 4626. Polachek, Solomon W. (1997). “Why democracies cooperate more and fight less: the relationship between international trade and cooperation.” Review of International Economics 5(3): 295-309. Popper, Karl. (1959). The Logic of Scientific Discovery. New York: Harper Torchbooks. Powers, Kathy L. (2006). “Dispute initiation and alliance obligations in regional economic institutions.” Journal of Peace Research 43(4): 453-471. |