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215
Johnson, Harry G. (1965b). “An Economic Theory of Protectionism, Tariff
Bargaining, and Formation of Customs Unions.” Journal of Political
Economy 73(3): 256-283.
Kahneman, Daniel and Amos Tversky. (1979). “Prospect Theory: An Analysis of
Decision under Risk.” Econometrica 47(2): 263-291.
Kaplan, E. L. and Paul Meier. (1958). “Nonparametric estimation from incomplete
observations.” Journal of the American Statistical Association 53(282): 457-
481.
Khor, Martin. (2007). “WTO: why Potsdam failed.” Economics and Political Weekly
42(26): 2487-2490.
Kindleberger, Charles P. (1973). The World in Depression, 1929–1939. Berkeley,
CA: University of California Press.
Kindleberger, Charles P. (1981). “Dominance and Leadership in the International
Economy: Exploitation, Public Goods, and Free Rides.” International
Studies Quarterly 25(2): 242-254.
Koo, Wan W., P. Lynn Kennedy, and Anatoliy Skripnitchenko. (2006). “Regional
preferential trade agreements: trade creation and diversion effects.” Review of
Agricultural Economics 28(3): 408-415.
Krishna, Pravin. (2003). “Are regional trading partners “natural?” Journal of
Political Economy 111(1): 202-226.
Krueger, Anne O. (1999). “Are Preferential Trading Arrangements Trade-liberalizing
or Protectionist?” Journal of Economic Perspectives 13(4): 105-
124.
Krugman, Paul. (1991a). "Is Bilateralism Bad?" In E. Helpman and A. Razin, in
[eds.] International Trade and Trade Policy, Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.
Krugman, Paul. (1991b). "The Move Towards Free Trade Zones." In Policy
Implications of Trade and Currency Zones, A Symposium sponsored by the
Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City. Jackson Hole, Wyoming, 7–42.
Krugman, Paul. (1993). “Regionalism versus Multilateralism: Analytic Notes.” In
[eds.] Jaime De Melo and Arvind Panagariya, New Dimensions in Regional
Integration, Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press for the Center for
Economic Policy Center Research.
Object Description
| Title | Riding the wave: an interdisciplinary approach to understanding the popularity of RTA notifications to the GATT/WTO |
| Author | McClough, David Andrew |
| Author email | mcclough@usc.edu; dmcclou@bgsu.edu |
| Degree | Doctor of Philosophy |
| Document type | Dissertation |
| Degree program | Political Economy & Public Policy |
| School | College of Letters, Arts and Sciences |
| Date defended/completed | 2008-08-07 |
| Date submitted | 2008 |
| Restricted until | Unrestricted |
| Date published | 2008-10-18 |
| Advisor (committee chair) | Katada, Saori N. |
| Advisor (committee member) |
Nugent, Jeffrey B. Cartier, Carolyn |
| Abstract | The proliferation of Regional Trade Agreements (RTAs) notified to the GATT/WTO since the early 1980s deviates from the long-term trend and reflects participation of nearly every member of the United Nations. This dissertation seeks to explain the current wave of RTA notifications by supplementing the economic model of supply and demand with diffusion theory. Application of the supply and demand model is useful in distinguishing between changes in demand and changes insupply of RTAs. This distinction is seldom emphasized in the current literature examining RTAs. Recent applications of diffusion theory in the discipline of international relations offer a unique opportunity to include a dynamic force in the static analysis of the supply and demand model. Empirical analysis assesses the fit of the RTA diffusion pattern by comparing the RTA diffusion pattern to a cumulative standard normal distribution. The analysis indicates that the diffusion pattern of RTAs resembles the diffusion of an innovation through a social system.; The implication of this finding is that the adoption of an RTA as trade policy is not made independently of the decision by other states. Indeed, the analysis suggests interdependency between states. Further empirical analysis explores economic and political variables that may explain the decision to adopt the RTA as trade policy. The empirical analysis is unique in that survival analysis is utilized to assess the variation in duration to adopt an initial RTA since the early 1980s. A central discovery is that regional designation explains the variation in duration to adopt an initial RTA. Multiple regression analysis confirms the results generated using survival analysis and support the assertion that the proliferation of RTAs likely reflects changes in both the demand for RTAs and the supply of RTAs. This dissertation concludes by considering implications for the WTO resulting from the increase in RTA notifications. |
| Keyword | trade agreements |
| Coverage date | after 1980 |
| Language | English |
| Part of collection | University of Southern California dissertations and theses |
| Publisher (of the original version) | University of Southern California |
| Place of publication (of the original version) | Los Angeles, California |
| Publisher (of the digital version) | University of Southern California. Libraries |
| Provenance | Electronically uploaded by the author |
| Type | texts |
| Legacy record ID | usctheses-m1675 |
| Contributing entity | University of Southern California |
| Rights | McClough, David Andrew |
| Repository name | Libraries, University of Southern California |
| Repository address | Los Angeles, California |
| Repository email | cisadmin@lib.usc.edu |
| Filename | etd-McClough-2338 |
| Archival file | uscthesesreloadpub_Volume32/etd-McClough-2338.pdf |
Description
| Title | Page 224 |
| Contributing entity | University of Southern California |
| Repository email | cisadmin@lib.usc.edu |
| Full text | 215 Johnson, Harry G. (1965b). “An Economic Theory of Protectionism, Tariff Bargaining, and Formation of Customs Unions.” Journal of Political Economy 73(3): 256-283. Kahneman, Daniel and Amos Tversky. (1979). “Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk.” Econometrica 47(2): 263-291. Kaplan, E. L. and Paul Meier. (1958). “Nonparametric estimation from incomplete observations.” Journal of the American Statistical Association 53(282): 457- 481. Khor, Martin. (2007). “WTO: why Potsdam failed.” Economics and Political Weekly 42(26): 2487-2490. Kindleberger, Charles P. (1973). The World in Depression, 1929–1939. Berkeley, CA: University of California Press. Kindleberger, Charles P. (1981). “Dominance and Leadership in the International Economy: Exploitation, Public Goods, and Free Rides.” International Studies Quarterly 25(2): 242-254. Koo, Wan W., P. Lynn Kennedy, and Anatoliy Skripnitchenko. (2006). “Regional preferential trade agreements: trade creation and diversion effects.” Review of Agricultural Economics 28(3): 408-415. Krishna, Pravin. (2003). “Are regional trading partners “natural?” Journal of Political Economy 111(1): 202-226. Krueger, Anne O. (1999). “Are Preferential Trading Arrangements Trade-liberalizing or Protectionist?” Journal of Economic Perspectives 13(4): 105- 124. Krugman, Paul. (1991a). "Is Bilateralism Bad?" In E. Helpman and A. Razin, in [eds.] International Trade and Trade Policy, Cambridge, MA: MIT Press. Krugman, Paul. (1991b). "The Move Towards Free Trade Zones." In Policy Implications of Trade and Currency Zones, A Symposium sponsored by the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City. Jackson Hole, Wyoming, 7–42. Krugman, Paul. (1993). “Regionalism versus Multilateralism: Analytic Notes.” In [eds.] Jaime De Melo and Arvind Panagariya, New Dimensions in Regional Integration, Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press for the Center for Economic Policy Center Research. |
