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136
Table 32: Cox Regression Variables
Variable Description
income Modified World Bank categories to include
region developed countries
World Bank designations supplemented by CIA
europe “Wono/roldff F” awcth Betohoekr a state is or is not part of Europe
formsov “on/off” whether a state was a former soviet
foryug “reopnu/obflfic” whether a state was a former yugoslav
comecon “reopnu/obflfic” whether a state was a former Comecon
fcomyugsov “moenm/obfef”r aggregate effect of USSR collapse
prevRTA “on/off” whether a state participating in an RTA
cat_rel Tprwioor sttoe pev celnuts tdeart aen alysis of fractionalization
cat_lang Tscwoore sst pepro cdluucsitnerg atnharelyes cisa toefg ofrraicetsi:o hniaglhiz, amtiiodnd le,
cat_ethn Tscwoore sst pepro cdluucsitnerg atnharelyes cisa toefg ofrraicetsi:o hniaglhiz, amtiiodnd le,
open Tscroardees opproendnuecsins gs ctohrree e( 1c9a9te0g-o1r9i9es9:) .h igh and low
A number of the variables in Table 32 appear to capture similar effects. For
example, one might be suspicious that the variables: europe, region, formsov,
formyug, and comecon represent similar effects. Table 33 presents the correlation
matrix for the factors in Table 32.
Table 33 shows a statistically significant (p = .000), strong positive
relationship (r = .373) between the variables region and europe, which motivates
separate specifications of the Cox regression model. In contrast, there is only a weak
relationship between the variables: comecon, formsov, and formyug. The variables
formyug and comecon are strongly correlated with the europe variable. The strong
correlation is anticipated given that all the states emerging from the disintegration of
Object Description
| Title | Riding the wave: an interdisciplinary approach to understanding the popularity of RTA notifications to the GATT/WTO |
| Author | McClough, David Andrew |
| Author email | mcclough@usc.edu; dmcclou@bgsu.edu |
| Degree | Doctor of Philosophy |
| Document type | Dissertation |
| Degree program | Political Economy & Public Policy |
| School | College of Letters, Arts and Sciences |
| Date defended/completed | 2008-08-07 |
| Date submitted | 2008 |
| Restricted until | Unrestricted |
| Date published | 2008-10-18 |
| Advisor (committee chair) | Katada, Saori N. |
| Advisor (committee member) |
Nugent, Jeffrey B. Cartier, Carolyn |
| Abstract | The proliferation of Regional Trade Agreements (RTAs) notified to the GATT/WTO since the early 1980s deviates from the long-term trend and reflects participation of nearly every member of the United Nations. This dissertation seeks to explain the current wave of RTA notifications by supplementing the economic model of supply and demand with diffusion theory. Application of the supply and demand model is useful in distinguishing between changes in demand and changes insupply of RTAs. This distinction is seldom emphasized in the current literature examining RTAs. Recent applications of diffusion theory in the discipline of international relations offer a unique opportunity to include a dynamic force in the static analysis of the supply and demand model. Empirical analysis assesses the fit of the RTA diffusion pattern by comparing the RTA diffusion pattern to a cumulative standard normal distribution. The analysis indicates that the diffusion pattern of RTAs resembles the diffusion of an innovation through a social system.; The implication of this finding is that the adoption of an RTA as trade policy is not made independently of the decision by other states. Indeed, the analysis suggests interdependency between states. Further empirical analysis explores economic and political variables that may explain the decision to adopt the RTA as trade policy. The empirical analysis is unique in that survival analysis is utilized to assess the variation in duration to adopt an initial RTA since the early 1980s. A central discovery is that regional designation explains the variation in duration to adopt an initial RTA. Multiple regression analysis confirms the results generated using survival analysis and support the assertion that the proliferation of RTAs likely reflects changes in both the demand for RTAs and the supply of RTAs. This dissertation concludes by considering implications for the WTO resulting from the increase in RTA notifications. |
| Keyword | trade agreements |
| Coverage date | after 1980 |
| Language | English |
| Part of collection | University of Southern California dissertations and theses |
| Publisher (of the original version) | University of Southern California |
| Place of publication (of the original version) | Los Angeles, California |
| Publisher (of the digital version) | University of Southern California. Libraries |
| Provenance | Electronically uploaded by the author |
| Type | texts |
| Legacy record ID | usctheses-m1675 |
| Contributing entity | University of Southern California |
| Rights | McClough, David Andrew |
| Repository name | Libraries, University of Southern California |
| Repository address | Los Angeles, California |
| Repository email | cisadmin@lib.usc.edu |
| Filename | etd-McClough-2338 |
| Archival file | uscthesesreloadpub_Volume32/etd-McClough-2338.pdf |
Description
| Title | Page 145 |
| Contributing entity | University of Southern California |
| Repository email | cisadmin@lib.usc.edu |
| Full text | 136 Table 32: Cox Regression Variables Variable Description income Modified World Bank categories to include region developed countries World Bank designations supplemented by CIA europe “Wono/roldff F” awcth Betohoekr a state is or is not part of Europe formsov “on/off” whether a state was a former soviet foryug “reopnu/obflfic” whether a state was a former yugoslav comecon “reopnu/obflfic” whether a state was a former Comecon fcomyugsov “moenm/obfef”r aggregate effect of USSR collapse prevRTA “on/off” whether a state participating in an RTA cat_rel Tprwioor sttoe pev celnuts tdeart aen alysis of fractionalization cat_lang Tscwoore sst pepro cdluucsitnerg atnharelyes cisa toefg ofrraicetsi:o hniaglhiz, amtiiodnd le, cat_ethn Tscwoore sst pepro cdluucsitnerg atnharelyes cisa toefg ofrraicetsi:o hniaglhiz, amtiiodnd le, open Tscroardees opproendnuecsins gs ctohrree e( 1c9a9te0g-o1r9i9es9:) .h igh and low A number of the variables in Table 32 appear to capture similar effects. For example, one might be suspicious that the variables: europe, region, formsov, formyug, and comecon represent similar effects. Table 33 presents the correlation matrix for the factors in Table 32. Table 33 shows a statistically significant (p = .000), strong positive relationship (r = .373) between the variables region and europe, which motivates separate specifications of the Cox regression model. In contrast, there is only a weak relationship between the variables: comecon, formsov, and formyug. The variables formyug and comecon are strongly correlated with the europe variable. The strong correlation is anticipated given that all the states emerging from the disintegration of |
