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129
Table 26: Religion Fractionalization -- Descriptive Frequencies
Censored
Religion Fractionalization Total N N of Events N Percent
Low Range 62 57 5 8.1%
Middle Range 58 55 3 5.2%
High Range 68 63 5 7.4%
Overall 188 175 13 6.9%
The test statistics reported in Table 27 suggests that the survival functions
may not differ however, none of which is statistically significant. Accordingly, the
null hypothesis that the survival functions are equal cannot be rejected. This
statistical analysis provides evidence suggesting that religious fractionalization
contributes to the variation in duration to adopt the RTA innovation.
Table 27: Religion Fractionalization: Test Statistics
Chi-Square df Sig.
Log Rank (Mantel-Cox) .898 2 .638
Breslow (Generalized Wilcoxon) 1.102 2 .576
Tarone-Ware 1.150 2 .563
Alesina et al. (2002) find that the three measures of fractionalization lead to
different results when used as independent variables to explain economic growth and
government quality so, this analysis now considers the language fractionalization
index to explain variation in the duration to adopt the RTA innovation. Language
fractionalization is inversely associated with better government and policy. High
language fractionalization may encourage shorter durations because high language
fractionalization may be associated with more interstate trade facilitated by a higher
probability of shared language with trading partners. The language fractionalization
Object Description
| Title | Riding the wave: an interdisciplinary approach to understanding the popularity of RTA notifications to the GATT/WTO |
| Author | McClough, David Andrew |
| Author email | mcclough@usc.edu; dmcclou@bgsu.edu |
| Degree | Doctor of Philosophy |
| Document type | Dissertation |
| Degree program | Political Economy & Public Policy |
| School | College of Letters, Arts and Sciences |
| Date defended/completed | 2008-08-07 |
| Date submitted | 2008 |
| Restricted until | Unrestricted |
| Date published | 2008-10-18 |
| Advisor (committee chair) | Katada, Saori N. |
| Advisor (committee member) |
Nugent, Jeffrey B. Cartier, Carolyn |
| Abstract | The proliferation of Regional Trade Agreements (RTAs) notified to the GATT/WTO since the early 1980s deviates from the long-term trend and reflects participation of nearly every member of the United Nations. This dissertation seeks to explain the current wave of RTA notifications by supplementing the economic model of supply and demand with diffusion theory. Application of the supply and demand model is useful in distinguishing between changes in demand and changes insupply of RTAs. This distinction is seldom emphasized in the current literature examining RTAs. Recent applications of diffusion theory in the discipline of international relations offer a unique opportunity to include a dynamic force in the static analysis of the supply and demand model. Empirical analysis assesses the fit of the RTA diffusion pattern by comparing the RTA diffusion pattern to a cumulative standard normal distribution. The analysis indicates that the diffusion pattern of RTAs resembles the diffusion of an innovation through a social system.; The implication of this finding is that the adoption of an RTA as trade policy is not made independently of the decision by other states. Indeed, the analysis suggests interdependency between states. Further empirical analysis explores economic and political variables that may explain the decision to adopt the RTA as trade policy. The empirical analysis is unique in that survival analysis is utilized to assess the variation in duration to adopt an initial RTA since the early 1980s. A central discovery is that regional designation explains the variation in duration to adopt an initial RTA. Multiple regression analysis confirms the results generated using survival analysis and support the assertion that the proliferation of RTAs likely reflects changes in both the demand for RTAs and the supply of RTAs. This dissertation concludes by considering implications for the WTO resulting from the increase in RTA notifications. |
| Keyword | trade agreements |
| Coverage date | after 1980 |
| Language | English |
| Part of collection | University of Southern California dissertations and theses |
| Publisher (of the original version) | University of Southern California |
| Place of publication (of the original version) | Los Angeles, California |
| Publisher (of the digital version) | University of Southern California. Libraries |
| Provenance | Electronically uploaded by the author |
| Type | texts |
| Legacy record ID | usctheses-m1675 |
| Contributing entity | University of Southern California |
| Rights | McClough, David Andrew |
| Repository name | Libraries, University of Southern California |
| Repository address | Los Angeles, California |
| Repository email | cisadmin@lib.usc.edu |
| Filename | etd-McClough-2338 |
| Archival file | uscthesesreloadpub_Volume32/etd-McClough-2338.pdf |
Description
| Title | Page 138 |
| Contributing entity | University of Southern California |
| Repository email | cisadmin@lib.usc.edu |
| Full text | 129 Table 26: Religion Fractionalization -- Descriptive Frequencies Censored Religion Fractionalization Total N N of Events N Percent Low Range 62 57 5 8.1% Middle Range 58 55 3 5.2% High Range 68 63 5 7.4% Overall 188 175 13 6.9% The test statistics reported in Table 27 suggests that the survival functions may not differ however, none of which is statistically significant. Accordingly, the null hypothesis that the survival functions are equal cannot be rejected. This statistical analysis provides evidence suggesting that religious fractionalization contributes to the variation in duration to adopt the RTA innovation. Table 27: Religion Fractionalization: Test Statistics Chi-Square df Sig. Log Rank (Mantel-Cox) .898 2 .638 Breslow (Generalized Wilcoxon) 1.102 2 .576 Tarone-Ware 1.150 2 .563 Alesina et al. (2002) find that the three measures of fractionalization lead to different results when used as independent variables to explain economic growth and government quality so, this analysis now considers the language fractionalization index to explain variation in the duration to adopt the RTA innovation. Language fractionalization is inversely associated with better government and policy. High language fractionalization may encourage shorter durations because high language fractionalization may be associated with more interstate trade facilitated by a higher probability of shared language with trading partners. The language fractionalization |
