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iv
List of Tables
Table 1: RTA Frequency Since 1992 26
Table 2: Analysis of Parameter Estimates – All RTAs 27
Table 3: Analysis of Parameter Estimates – In-force RTAs 28
Table 4: Analysis of Parameter Estimates – GATS 29
Table 5: Analysis of Parameter Estimates – XXIV & Enabling Clause 30
Table 6: Frequency by Organizing Provision 34
Table 7: Frequency by Organizing Provision Prior to and Since 1992 35
Table 8: Frequency of Geopolitical Events 88
Table 9: US RTAs through 2006 89
Table 10: RTAs in Europe 91
Table 11: Chi-Square Results – Europe 92
Table 12: GATT Rounds: Dates, Duration, Issues, Participants 94
Table 13: Censored Observations 114
Table 14: New States Since 1982 118
Table 15: States No Longer in Existence Since 1982 119
Table 16: Region -- Descriptive Frequencies 120
Table 17: Region -- Summary of Test Statistics 120
Table 18: Region – Pairwise Comparison 121
Table 19: Income – Descriptive Frequencies 123
Table 20: Income – Summary of Test Statistics 124
Table 21: Income – Pairwise Comparison 124
Object Description
| Title | Riding the wave: an interdisciplinary approach to understanding the popularity of RTA notifications to the GATT/WTO |
| Author | McClough, David Andrew |
| Author email | mcclough@usc.edu; dmcclou@bgsu.edu |
| Degree | Doctor of Philosophy |
| Document type | Dissertation |
| Degree program | Political Economy & Public Policy |
| School | College of Letters, Arts and Sciences |
| Date defended/completed | 2008-08-07 |
| Date submitted | 2008 |
| Restricted until | Unrestricted |
| Date published | 2008-10-18 |
| Advisor (committee chair) | Katada, Saori N. |
| Advisor (committee member) |
Nugent, Jeffrey B. Cartier, Carolyn |
| Abstract | The proliferation of Regional Trade Agreements (RTAs) notified to the GATT/WTO since the early 1980s deviates from the long-term trend and reflects participation of nearly every member of the United Nations. This dissertation seeks to explain the current wave of RTA notifications by supplementing the economic model of supply and demand with diffusion theory. Application of the supply and demand model is useful in distinguishing between changes in demand and changes insupply of RTAs. This distinction is seldom emphasized in the current literature examining RTAs. Recent applications of diffusion theory in the discipline of international relations offer a unique opportunity to include a dynamic force in the static analysis of the supply and demand model. Empirical analysis assesses the fit of the RTA diffusion pattern by comparing the RTA diffusion pattern to a cumulative standard normal distribution. The analysis indicates that the diffusion pattern of RTAs resembles the diffusion of an innovation through a social system.; The implication of this finding is that the adoption of an RTA as trade policy is not made independently of the decision by other states. Indeed, the analysis suggests interdependency between states. Further empirical analysis explores economic and political variables that may explain the decision to adopt the RTA as trade policy. The empirical analysis is unique in that survival analysis is utilized to assess the variation in duration to adopt an initial RTA since the early 1980s. A central discovery is that regional designation explains the variation in duration to adopt an initial RTA. Multiple regression analysis confirms the results generated using survival analysis and support the assertion that the proliferation of RTAs likely reflects changes in both the demand for RTAs and the supply of RTAs. This dissertation concludes by considering implications for the WTO resulting from the increase in RTA notifications. |
| Keyword | trade agreements |
| Coverage date | after 1980 |
| Language | English |
| Part of collection | University of Southern California dissertations and theses |
| Publisher (of the original version) | University of Southern California |
| Place of publication (of the original version) | Los Angeles, California |
| Publisher (of the digital version) | University of Southern California. Libraries |
| Provenance | Electronically uploaded by the author |
| Type | texts |
| Legacy record ID | usctheses-m1675 |
| Contributing entity | University of Southern California |
| Rights | McClough, David Andrew |
| Repository name | Libraries, University of Southern California |
| Repository address | Los Angeles, California |
| Repository email | cisadmin@lib.usc.edu |
| Filename | etd-McClough-2338 |
| Archival file | uscthesesreloadpub_Volume32/etd-McClough-2338.pdf |
Description
| Title | Page 4 |
| Contributing entity | University of Southern California |
| Repository email | cisadmin@lib.usc.edu |
| Full text | iv List of Tables Table 1: RTA Frequency Since 1992 26 Table 2: Analysis of Parameter Estimates – All RTAs 27 Table 3: Analysis of Parameter Estimates – In-force RTAs 28 Table 4: Analysis of Parameter Estimates – GATS 29 Table 5: Analysis of Parameter Estimates – XXIV & Enabling Clause 30 Table 6: Frequency by Organizing Provision 34 Table 7: Frequency by Organizing Provision Prior to and Since 1992 35 Table 8: Frequency of Geopolitical Events 88 Table 9: US RTAs through 2006 89 Table 10: RTAs in Europe 91 Table 11: Chi-Square Results – Europe 92 Table 12: GATT Rounds: Dates, Duration, Issues, Participants 94 Table 13: Censored Observations 114 Table 14: New States Since 1982 118 Table 15: States No Longer in Existence Since 1982 119 Table 16: Region -- Descriptive Frequencies 120 Table 17: Region -- Summary of Test Statistics 120 Table 18: Region – Pairwise Comparison 121 Table 19: Income – Descriptive Frequencies 123 Table 20: Income – Summary of Test Statistics 124 Table 21: Income – Pairwise Comparison 124 |
