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123
Results
Model 6 examines economic growth over the period 1990-2005. The
lagged variable for HIV/AIDS 1995 has a negative and significant influence on
growth in estimations I and II of the model. This result confirms that the disease is
harmful to economic growth. Specifically, the results for all variables are as follows:
• Average investment has a positive and significant influence on GDP growth
in estimations II, III, and IV of the model as expected.
• Secondary school enrollment rates (1995) in estimations II, III and IV have a
significant but negative influence on GDP growth. The negative sign for this
result is puzzling as education should lead to more income and hence, GDP
growth. In many developing countries, however, enrollment rates often do
not translate into actual completion rates, making school enrollment rates less
productive.
• The number of Telephone mainlines per 100 people in the population in 1995
has a positive and significant influence on GDP growth in estimations II, III,
and IV of the model. This result indicates that infrastructure and in
particular, communication technology, in a country can contribute to
economic growth.
• A Civil War any time over 1995 to 2005 has a positive but insignificant
influence on GDP growth in estimations I, II, and IV of the model. The
positive sign of this coefficient is puzzling since wars usually drain a
country’s resources.
Object Description
| Title | Political determinants and economic effects of HIV/AIDS: a push for the multisectoral approach |
| Author | Davis, Dollie |
| Author email | dollieda@usc.edu; dolliesdavis@gmail.com |
| Degree | Doctor of Philosophy |
| Document type | Dissertation |
| Degree program | Political Economy & Public Policy |
| School | College of Letters, Arts and Sciences |
| Date defended/completed | 2008-07-15 |
| Date submitted | 2008 |
| Restricted until | Unrestricted |
| Date published | 2008-10-30 |
| Advisor (committee chair) | Wise, Carol |
| Advisor (committee member) |
Nugent, Jeffrey B. Chi, Iris |
| Abstract | The proposed dissertation offers an explanation for the large differences in HIV/AIDS rates among 89 low and middle-income countries throughout the Sub Saharan African, Asian, and Latin American regions over a ten-year period (1995-2005). The HIV/AIDS rates in these countries vary widely and seemingly independently of economic wealth. One possible determinant of these differences is the presence and degree of development of strong multisectoral programs aimed at both prevention and cure of HIV/AIDS. The main hypothesis for this dissertation is: "A country's success in combating HIV/AIDS lies in the government's ability to implement an effective multisectoral program." This hypothesis is explored through quantitative models using data from the ten-year period (1995-2005). Results show that the presence of a multisectoral program over the ten-year period is associated with a significantly lower HIV/AIDS incidence rate by 2005. This effect is produced by controlling for various political, economic, societal, and institutional factors. Although there is some anecdotal evidence which suggests that multisectoral programs help to improve the HIV/AIDS problem in developing countries, there has been little if any empirical work done on this subject to date. |
| Keyword | multisectoral; HIV/AIDS; economic development |
| Geographic subject (region) | Carribbean |
| Geographic subject (continent) | Africa; Asia; South America |
| Coverage date | 1995/2005 |
| Language | English |
| Part of collection | University of Southern California dissertations and theses |
| Publisher (of the original version) | University of Southern California |
| Place of publication (of the original version) | Los Angeles, California |
| Publisher (of the digital version) | University of Southern California. Libraries |
| Provenance | Electronically uploaded by the author |
| Type | texts |
| Legacy record ID | usctheses-m1724 |
| Contributing entity | University of Southern California |
| Rights | Davis, Dollie |
| Repository name | Libraries, University of Southern California |
| Repository address | Los Angeles, California |
| Repository email | cisadmin@lib.usc.edu |
| Filename | etd-Davis-2422 |
| Archival file | uscthesesreloadpub_Volume44/etd-Davis-2422.pdf |
Description
| Title | Page 131 |
| Contributing entity | University of Southern California |
| Repository email | cisadmin@lib.usc.edu |
| Full text | 123 Results Model 6 examines economic growth over the period 1990-2005. The lagged variable for HIV/AIDS 1995 has a negative and significant influence on growth in estimations I and II of the model. This result confirms that the disease is harmful to economic growth. Specifically, the results for all variables are as follows: • Average investment has a positive and significant influence on GDP growth in estimations II, III, and IV of the model as expected. • Secondary school enrollment rates (1995) in estimations II, III and IV have a significant but negative influence on GDP growth. The negative sign for this result is puzzling as education should lead to more income and hence, GDP growth. In many developing countries, however, enrollment rates often do not translate into actual completion rates, making school enrollment rates less productive. • The number of Telephone mainlines per 100 people in the population in 1995 has a positive and significant influence on GDP growth in estimations II, III, and IV of the model. This result indicates that infrastructure and in particular, communication technology, in a country can contribute to economic growth. • A Civil War any time over 1995 to 2005 has a positive but insignificant influence on GDP growth in estimations I, II, and IV of the model. The positive sign of this coefficient is puzzling since wars usually drain a country’s resources. |
