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15
rate (which was 21.5% at the time of their study), and the other a zero rate of
HIV/AIDS. Running their model from 2000-2010, the authors find that the economic
toll from HIV/AIDS in South Africa could translate to a 17% drop in GDP; their
other predictions included a fall in population growth, labor productivity, total factor
productivity, and a spending shift toward health care by consumers and government.
To date, the HIV/AIDS rate remains high in South Africa, but (according to available
data) it did drop from its peak level 21.5% in 2002 to 18.8% in 2005. Economic
growth is currently running at around 4.2% in South Africa, although growth did
take a dip (2.74%); coincidentally around the time when the HIV/AIDS rate was at
its highest.
Other economic growth studies and simulation models (similar to those
reviewed in this section) have consistently found that HIV/AIDS has a negative
relationship with economic growth. While it is clear that the economic effects from
the disease are severe, it is also important to examine the determinants of HIV/AIDS.
Societal Determinants of HIV/AIDS
A number of studies seek to identify those key determinants that influence
HIV/AIDS rates in developing countries. The majority of these studies concentrate
primarily on societal variables, such as literacy rates and religion in explaining the
spread of the disease. Below I review those works that rely on societal variables as
determinants of the disease.
Object Description
| Title | Political determinants and economic effects of HIV/AIDS: a push for the multisectoral approach |
| Author | Davis, Dollie |
| Author email | dollieda@usc.edu; dolliesdavis@gmail.com |
| Degree | Doctor of Philosophy |
| Document type | Dissertation |
| Degree program | Political Economy & Public Policy |
| School | College of Letters, Arts and Sciences |
| Date defended/completed | 2008-07-15 |
| Date submitted | 2008 |
| Restricted until | Unrestricted |
| Date published | 2008-10-30 |
| Advisor (committee chair) | Wise, Carol |
| Advisor (committee member) |
Nugent, Jeffrey B. Chi, Iris |
| Abstract | The proposed dissertation offers an explanation for the large differences in HIV/AIDS rates among 89 low and middle-income countries throughout the Sub Saharan African, Asian, and Latin American regions over a ten-year period (1995-2005). The HIV/AIDS rates in these countries vary widely and seemingly independently of economic wealth. One possible determinant of these differences is the presence and degree of development of strong multisectoral programs aimed at both prevention and cure of HIV/AIDS. The main hypothesis for this dissertation is: "A country's success in combating HIV/AIDS lies in the government's ability to implement an effective multisectoral program." This hypothesis is explored through quantitative models using data from the ten-year period (1995-2005). Results show that the presence of a multisectoral program over the ten-year period is associated with a significantly lower HIV/AIDS incidence rate by 2005. This effect is produced by controlling for various political, economic, societal, and institutional factors. Although there is some anecdotal evidence which suggests that multisectoral programs help to improve the HIV/AIDS problem in developing countries, there has been little if any empirical work done on this subject to date. |
| Keyword | multisectoral; HIV/AIDS; economic development |
| Geographic subject (region) | Carribbean |
| Geographic subject (continent) | Africa; Asia; South America |
| Coverage date | 1995/2005 |
| Language | English |
| Part of collection | University of Southern California dissertations and theses |
| Publisher (of the original version) | University of Southern California |
| Place of publication (of the original version) | Los Angeles, California |
| Publisher (of the digital version) | University of Southern California. Libraries |
| Provenance | Electronically uploaded by the author |
| Type | texts |
| Legacy record ID | usctheses-m1724 |
| Contributing entity | University of Southern California |
| Rights | Davis, Dollie |
| Repository name | Libraries, University of Southern California |
| Repository address | Los Angeles, California |
| Repository email | cisadmin@lib.usc.edu |
| Filename | etd-Davis-2422 |
| Archival file | uscthesesreloadpub_Volume44/etd-Davis-2422.pdf |
Description
| Title | Page 23 |
| Contributing entity | University of Southern California |
| Repository email | cisadmin@lib.usc.edu |
| Full text | 15 rate (which was 21.5% at the time of their study), and the other a zero rate of HIV/AIDS. Running their model from 2000-2010, the authors find that the economic toll from HIV/AIDS in South Africa could translate to a 17% drop in GDP; their other predictions included a fall in population growth, labor productivity, total factor productivity, and a spending shift toward health care by consumers and government. To date, the HIV/AIDS rate remains high in South Africa, but (according to available data) it did drop from its peak level 21.5% in 2002 to 18.8% in 2005. Economic growth is currently running at around 4.2% in South Africa, although growth did take a dip (2.74%); coincidentally around the time when the HIV/AIDS rate was at its highest. Other economic growth studies and simulation models (similar to those reviewed in this section) have consistently found that HIV/AIDS has a negative relationship with economic growth. While it is clear that the economic effects from the disease are severe, it is also important to examine the determinants of HIV/AIDS. Societal Determinants of HIV/AIDS A number of studies seek to identify those key determinants that influence HIV/AIDS rates in developing countries. The majority of these studies concentrate primarily on societal variables, such as literacy rates and religion in explaining the spread of the disease. Below I review those works that rely on societal variables as determinants of the disease. |
