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THE LONG WALTZ:
TEMPORAL HORIZONS AND STRATEGIC DECISIONS
IN US–CHINA RELATIONS
by
Daniel Joseph Tauss
A Dissertation Presented to the
FACULTY OF THE USC GRADUATE SCHOOL
UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
In Partial Fulfillment of the
Requirements for the Degree
DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY
(POLITICS AND INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS)
December 2011
Copyright 2011 Daniel Joseph Tauss
Object Description
| Title | The long waltz: temporal horizons and strategic decisions in US-China relations |
| Author | Tauss, Daniel Joseph |
| Author email | tauss@hotmail.com;tauss@aya.yale.edu |
| Degree | Doctor of Philosophy |
| Document type | Dissertation |
| Degree program | Politics and International Relations |
| School | College of Letters, Arts And Sciences |
| Date defended/completed | 2011-08-30 |
| Date submitted | 2011-10-18 |
| Date approved | 2011-10-18 |
| Restricted until | 2011-10-18 |
| Date published | 2011-10-18 |
| Advisor (committee chair) | James, Patrick |
| Advisor (committee member) |
Lynch, Daniel C. Read, Stephen J. |
| Abstract | This project adds a new dimension to the study of foreign policy decision-making by means of a nuanced method of considering an actor’s perspective on the future. In the process of weighing alternative actions in the area of foreign policy, one of the most important factors influencing a policy choice is the decision maker’s view of time, in particular the way that perception informs the future. I argue that the distance into the future a leader considers has a significant impact on how options are weighed, and outcomes valued. ❧ Many studies in Political Science and International Relations have looked at the role of time, particularly the role of the past through the use of analogy and historical awareness. Other works in a number of disciplines, namely Prospect Theory and Construal Theory, have considered how the future is viewed, and what psychological filters have an impact on considering that future. This dissertation builds upon that work by looking at the future as a series of specific horizons, ranging from the immediate to the extremely long term. By contrasting the different perspectives that can be found in the thoughts and words of policy makers, significant differences emerge that greatly add to our understanding of the decision making process. ❧ This ‘time horizon’ approach is applied to two of the most defining incidents in contemporary US-China relations. The Taiwan Straits Missile Crises of 1995-6 and China’s admission into the World Trade Organization over the course of the late 1990s are both cases of particular significance in a specific facet of ‘hard power’; the Straits Crisis has defined the military issues between the two powers, while the entrance into the WTO was primarily in the economic realm. Each situation is a fairly high-tension point of interaction between the US and the PRC, with consequences stretching into the future. Because these moments of interaction had immediate implications as well as a variety of longer term aspects, they are conducive to our methodological approach. The study has shown some compelling results that indicate that the choice of time horizon can play a significant role in policy outcomes. In addition, the time horizon method can offer increased depth and sensitivity to a wide variety of methodological approaches. |
| Keyword | China; Taiwan; Missile crisis; WTO; foreign policy; temporal; construal; decision; time |
| Language | English |
| Part of collection | University of Southern California dissertations and theses |
| Publisher (of the original version) | University of Southern California |
| Place of publication (of the original version) | Los Angeles, California |
| Publisher (of the digital version) | University of Southern California. Libraries |
| Provenance | Electronically uploaded by the author |
| Type | texts |
| Legacy record ID | usctheses-m |
| Rights | Tauss, Daniel Joseph |
| Access conditions | The author retains rights to his/her dissertation, thesis or other graduate work according to U.S. copyright law. Electronic access is being provided by the USC Libraries in agreement with the author, as the original true and official version of the work, but does not grant the reader permission to use the work if the desired use is covered by copyright. It is the author, as rights holder, who must provide use permission if such use is covered by copyright. The original signature page accompanying the original submission of the work to the USC Libraries is retained by the USC Libraries and a copy of it may be obtained by authorized requesters contacting the repository e-mail address given. |
| Repository name | University of Southern California Digital Library |
| Repository address | USC Digital Library, University of Southern California, University Park Campus MC 7002, 106 University Village, Los Angeles, California 90089-7002, USA |
| Repository email | cisadmin@usc.edu |
| Archival file | uscthesesreloadpub_Volume71/etd-TaussDanie-348.pdf |
Description
| Title | Page 1 |
| Full text | THE LONG WALTZ: TEMPORAL HORIZONS AND STRATEGIC DECISIONS IN US–CHINA RELATIONS by Daniel Joseph Tauss A Dissertation Presented to the FACULTY OF THE USC GRADUATE SCHOOL UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA In Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY (POLITICS AND INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS) December 2011 Copyright 2011 Daniel Joseph Tauss |
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